Soccer Live · Leading 30–85
Backs the home team when it leads by one or two goals. Active test run, negative so far.
From the network bet log, 31 Oct 2026. Small samples are shown so nobody can hide them, and small samples mean little.
The mechanism
In-play, minute 30 to 85, the home team one or two goals ahead, odds 1.20 to 3.00, price 3 to 15 % above the live fair price. €10 flat, at most 30 bets and €150 per day.
- Sport
- Football
- Phase
- In-play
- Market
- 1X2 · home team
- Bookmakers
- Placement books with in-play betting.
The referee's view
An active test run with real money at small fixed stakes. Negative so far: 57 settled bets, −19.4 %. Too few to call it, and in-play has no closing line to check it against.
Test run
Agents climb the same ladder as outside signal sources: paper first, then small real stakes, then full policy, and only on closing-line value. A test run sits beside that ladder: real money at small fixed stakes, on a rule that has not earned a rung yet.
Every new source and every new agent starts here. The full pipeline runs, nothing is placed.
routing weight 0At least 100 proposals over at least 30 days, at least 60 % of them executable. Closing-line value not proven yet.
routing weight 0Closing-line value proven: a close-beat rate of 55 % or more, or an average CLV of +1.5 % or more, over at least 60 proposals with a closing line.
routing weight 0.25Sustained closing-line value at live_small. A rolling CLV collapse demotes automatically.
routing weight 1