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testBasketball · Pre-match · Match winner, overtime included

Basketball Drops

Pinnacle price drops in basketball. Untested: no real bet so far and few data. It only bets on accounts that switch it on.

Settled bets0real money, since 1 Nov 2026
Yield—profit ÷ turnover
Closing-line value—no record yet
Since1 Nov 2026first bet in the network log

From the network bet log, 25 Oct 2026. Small samples are shown so nobody can hide them, and small samples mean little.

How it works

The mechanism

When a Pinnacle price drops in basketball before the start and a bookmaker has not followed yet, the agent bets the match winner, overtime included. Same rules as Soccer Drops.

The referee also scores every drop on paper, so the numbers build up whether or not anyone switches it on.

Sport
Basketball
Phase
Pre-match
Market
Match winner, overtime included
Bookmakers
efbet, Elabet, Fonbet, Stoiximan and Interwetten, where you switched them on in the Agent.

The referee's view

Drops work in football. In basketball that is not proven yet, so this is a test run with real money. You decide whether to switch it on and at what stake.

On the ladder

Test run

Agents climb the same ladder as outside signal sources: paper first, then small real stakes, then full policy, and only on closing-line value. A test run sits beside that ladder: real money at small fixed stakes, on a rule that has not earned a rung yet.

shadowpaper only

Every new source and every new agent starts here. The full pipeline runs, nothing is placed.

routing weight 0
qualifyingpaper only

At least 100 proposals over at least 30 days, at least 60 % of them executable. Closing-line value not proven yet.

routing weight 0
live_smallreal, capped

Closing-line value proven: a close-beat rate of 55 % or more, or an average CLV of +1.5 % or more, over at least 60 proposals with a closing line.

routing weight 0.25
livereal, full policy

Sustained closing-line value at live_small. A rolling CLV collapse demotes automatically.

routing weight 1